智能决策问题探讨 —– 从游戏博弈到作战指挥, 距离还有多远
On Problems of Intelligent Decision-Making—How Far Is It from Game-Playing to Operational Command
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摘要: 如何实现智能指挥决策, 是智能时代指挥控制面临的一项巨大挑战. 着眼智能指挥决策的不同层次, 阐述了游戏博弈与战争对抗中的决策差异, 分析了现在主流的人工智能技术在应用到战争对抗中的局限性, 重点阐述了智能指挥决策面临问题中的 6 个问题 —– 智能决策能否做到? 态势能否理解? 不理解可否决策? 如何利用已有的知识? 决策智能如何获得? 智能决策如何实现? 并给出了解决问题的思路. 这对理解智能决策和研发智能系统, 具有重要的作用和意义.Abstract: How to realize intelligent command and decision-making is a huge challenge for command and control in the intelligent age. Focusing on the different levels of intelligent command and decision-making, this paper expounds the decision-making differences between game-playing and war confrontation, and analyzes the limitations of the current mainstream artificial intelligence technology when it is applied in war confrontation. Six problems of intelligent command decision-making are focused on: Can it be realized or not? Does the situation make sense? Don't understand can make decision? How to make use of existing knowledge? How is decision intelligence obtained? How can intelligent decision-making be realized? And solutions to the problems are given. This is of great significance to the understanding of intelligent decision-making and the development of intelligent systems.
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