基于机器学习的海上蒸发波导特性智能化预测
Intelligent Prediction for Marine Evaporation Duct Characteristics Based on Machine Learning
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摘要: 为了提高海上作战环境中蒸发波导特性预测的准确性, 支撑系统规划设计、 作战指挥控制以及占领电磁环境和频谱战优势, 引入机器学习的方法, 重建了一种蒸发波导特性智能化预测模型. 对比分析结果显示, 所建模型与实测剖面偏差为 0.45 M-unit,相对误差降低到 0.14%, 均方根误差为 1.20 m, 相比于 Gerstoft 模型精度提升量为 3.46%. 该方法预期在提高中国区域乃至全球范围内预测蒸发波导高度的准确性方面具有很大的潜力.Abstract: To improve the accuracy of evaporation duct prediction in the maritime combat environment, machine learning methods are introduced to reconstruct a prediction model of evaporation duct characteristics. It can support radio system design, combat command and control, and seize the advantages of electromagnetic spectrum warfare. The comparative results show that the deviation between the proposed model and the measured profile is 0.45 M-unit, and the relative error is reduced to 0.14%. The root-mean-square error is 1.20 m, which is an increase of 3.46% in accuracy compared to the Gerstoft model. This method is expected to have great potential in predicting the height of the evaporation duct in China and even globally.
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