Elman-based Intelligent Prediction of Evaporation Duct Characteristics in Maritime Combat Environment
YANG Cheng1, 2 WANG Jian1, 2, 3, *
1. School of Microelectronics, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China;2. Qingdao Institute for Ocean Techmology, Tianjin University, Qingdao 266205, China;3. Shandong Engineering Technology Research Center of Ocean Information Awareness and Transmission, Qingdao 266205, China
Abstract：The evaporation duct is highly available in the maritime combat environment, and it is an important factor affecting the performance of shore-based, shipborne, or low-altitude airborne radars and communication system. This paper uses the Elman neural network is used to construct an intelligent prediction model of evaporation duct characteristics based on meteorological data and to realize the precise prediction of the characteristic parameters of the height of evaporation duct. The sea experimental sounding data are collected in the paper and the constructed model is used for the prediction of the height of evaporation duct. The analysis results show that the model
can deeply learn or dig the spatiotemporal elements from the meteorological parameters according to sea observation data. The prediction error of all 476 groups of data is 1.94 m, and the statistical results are in line with the normal distribution law. The prediction error of the test set is 1.90 m, indicating that the intelligent prediction model of evaporation duct characteristics has a good generalization capability in prediction. It can provide favorable support to occupy the advantage of the electromagnetic environment and spectrum warfare in maritime combat environment.
杨铖，王健. 基于Elman 的海战环境蒸发波导特性智能预测[J]. 指挥与控制学报, 2025, 11(1): 87-94.
YANG Cheng, WANG Jian. Elman-based Intelligent Prediction of Evaporation Duct Characteristics in Maritime Combat Environment. Journal of Command and Control, 2025, 11(1): 87-94.
2025, Vol. 11 
