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    基于决策设想和场景匹配的作战指挥精准辅助决策

    Precise Assistant Decision-making for Operation Command Based on Decision Assumption and Scene Matching

    • 摘要: 针对现有辅助决策模式难以充分支撑指挥员复杂决策思维过程的问题,提出了一种贴合指挥员思维探索过程的辅助决策模式及其实现方法。提出基于决策设想和场景匹配的作战指挥辅助决策模式,该模式通过对指挥员决策设想进行多因素分析验证,支持指挥员针对复杂决策问题进行探索和试错。为降低多因素反复分析过程中参数设置的复杂度,提出了基于 “场景-参数” 匹配的辅助决策精准设计方法,通过对辅助决策参数的设置方式进行分类,提出了需默认设置的参数类型与决策场景要素之间的依赖关系,减少了与决策问题关联较小的低层次参数设置工作,提高了辅助决策的时效性和针对性。通过典型案例证明了以上辅助决策模式方法具有较强的实用性和可行性。

       

      Abstract: In response to the problem that existing assistant decision-making modes are unable to fully support the complex decisionmaking thinking process of commanders, an assistant decision-making mode and its implementation method that fits the thought exploration process of commanders are proposed. Firstly, an assistant decision-making mode based on decision-making assumptions and scene matching is proposed. This mode supports the commander´s exploration and trial in complex decision-making problems, by verifying the commander´s decision-making assumptions through multiple factor analysis. Then, a precise design method for assistant decision-making based on "scene-parameter" matching is proposed to reduce the complexity of parameter setting in the process of repeated analysis of multiple factors. By classifying the setting modes of assistant decision-making parameters, the dependency relationship between default parameter types and decision scene elements is proposed. The low-level parameter setting job that is less related to decision-making problems is reduced. The timeliness and pertinence of assistant decision-making are improved. Finally, the typical cases have been used to demonstrate the strong practicality and feasibility of the above assistant decision-making mode and method.

       

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